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ID107995
Title ProperWorldwide inflation and international monetary reform
Other Title Informationexchange rates or interest rates?
LanguageENG
AuthorMcKinnon, Ronald
Publication2011.
Summary / Abstract (Note)The international dollar standard is malfunctioning. Near-zero US short-term interest rates launch massive hot money outflows into emerging markets (EM) in Asia and Latin America. Each EM central bank buys dollars to prevent its currency from appreciating but loses monetary control. Despite some appreciation, average inflation in EMs is now much higher than in the old industrial economies and world commodity prices are bid up sharply. This inflation on the dollar's periphery only registers in the US CPI with a long lag. However, the more immediate effect of the Fed's zero interest rate is to upset the process of bank intermediation within the American economy. Bank credit continues to decline while employment languishes. Therefore, constructive international monetary reform calls for the Fed to abandon its zero-interest rate policy, which is best done in cooperation with the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan, and the Bank of England also abandoning their ultra low interest rates.
`In' analytical NoteChina and World Economy Vol. 19, No. 5; Sep-Oct 2011: p.1-16
Journal SourceChina and World Economy Vol. 19, No. 5; Sep-Oct 2011: p.1-16
Key WordsExchange Rate ;  Global Inflation ;  International Monetary Reform ;  Interest Rate