ID | 121850 |
Title Proper | You can't win if you don't fight |
Other Title Information | the role of regime type in counterinsurgency outbreaks and outcomes |
Language | ENG |
Author | Getmansky, Anna |
Publication | 2013. |
Summary / Abstract (Note) | What effect, if any, does democracy have on outcomes of counterinsurgency wars? Previous studies have provided inconclusive answers mainly because of the challenges involved in testing the question empirically: First, insurgencies are not accidental and the anticipated outcomes also affect whether they break out in the first place. Second, regimes are non-random and their determinants can also affect insurgency incidence and its outcomes. Moreover, different aspects of democracy can have opposite effects on the government's chances of winning. I address these challenges by conducting a critical test to distinguish between different causal mechanisms. I find that domestic institutions that are associated with public goods provision make insurgency onsets less likely. I also show that once we control for this selection effect, domestic political institutions do not influence insurgency outcomes. |
`In' analytical Note | Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 57, No.4; Aug 2013: p.709-734 |
Journal Source | Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 57, No.4; Aug 2013: p.709-734 |
Key Words | Counterinsurgency ; Democracy ; Domestic Politics ; Victory |