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ID125423
Title ProperLong-term scenarios and strategies for the deployment of renewable energies in Germany
LanguageENG
AuthorPregger, Thomas ;  Nitsch, Joachim ;  Naegler, Tobias
Publication2013.
Summary / Abstract (Note)The transformation of the energy supply in Germany (the "Energiewende") as described in the German Federal government's 'Energy Concept' ( Energiekonzept, 2010) is based on a political consensus about long-term targets for energy efficiency and renewable energies. The aim of this article is to present a consistent scenario for this transformation process reflecting the long-term implementation of renewable energies and the possible future structure of the German energy system as a whole. Structural and economic effects of this development are derived and discussed. It summarizes results of scenario analyses done by the department of Systems Analysis and Technology Assessment of the German Aerospace Center as part of a three-year research project for the German Federal Ministry for the Environment. The underlying study provides a detailed data base reflecting a long-term roadmap for the energy system transformation in Germany. The scenarios show that the policy targets are consistent and can be achieved, if appropriate policy measures are to be implemented. The economic analysis shows the amount of investments and the strong market dynamics required for new generation technologies but also the huge economic benefits that can result from this development path in terms of fuel cost savings and lower fuel imports.
`In' analytical NoteEnergy Policy Vol.59; Aug 2013: p.350-360
Journal SourceEnergy Policy Vol.59; Aug 2013: p.350-360
Key WordsEnergy Scenario ;  Renewable Energy ;  Economic Effect