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ID133195
Title ProperLooking inward for transformative growth
LanguageENG
AuthorTyers, Rod
Publication2014.
Summary / Abstract (Note)Export led growth has been very effective in modernising China's economy and establishing a large high-saving middle class. Notwithstanding political opposition from trading partners, this growth strategy has also offered the rest of the world improved terms of trade in both product and financial markets, in the form of cheaper light manufactures and cheaper credit. Yet slowing demand in export destinations has forced a transition to inward-sourced growth. This paper uses a numerical model of the Chinese economy with oligopoly behaviour to examine the available "inward" sources of transformative growth along with the policies needed to exploit them. The potential for further "transformative" growth is shown to be considerable though it will require accelerated skilled labour supply growth and the politically difficult extension of industry policy reform to heavy manufacturing and services
`In' analytical NoteChina Economic Review Vol.29, No.__ ; Jun.2014: p.166-184
Journal SourceChina Economic Review Vol.29, No.__ ; Jun.2014: p.166-184
Key WordsTransformative Growth ;  China ;  Economic Growth ;  Social Reforms ;  Chinese Economy ;  Export Growth ;  International Trade ;  Oligopoly Behaviour