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ID134790
Title ProperForecasting the 2014 midterm elections with the generic ballot model
LanguageENG
AuthorAbramowitz, Alan I
Summary / Abstract (Note)This article presents forecasts of national seat swing in the 2014 House and Senate elections based on relatively simple models that incorporate the results of the generic ballot question. The generic ballot question, which has been asked by the Gallup Poll since 1946 and by many other national polls in recent years, provides a way of assessing the mood of the American public in the months leading up to a national election. This question asks a national sample of American voters whether they prefer a Democrat or a Republican for the House of Representatives without providing the names of the candidates.
`In' analytical NotePolitical Science and Politics Vol.47, No.4; Oct.2014: p.772-774
Journal SourcePolitical Science and Politics 2014-12 47, 4
Standard NumberUnited States – US