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ID155386
Title ProperPutting a little more “time” into strategic intelligence analysis
LanguageENG
AuthorLandon-Murray, Michael
Summary / Abstract (Note)Insights and models from the subfield of political development—timing and sequencing, temporality and long-term processes, and intercurrence—can improve the work of strategic intelligence analysts by enhancing discontinuity and opportunity analysis, enriching conceptual schema and imagination, and mitigating a number of problematic cognitive biases. Broadly, a strong grounding in key concepts of political development will help analysts engage in more complex and integrative thinking, a factor which has been found to be a positive determinant of accuracy in forecasting.
`In' analytical NoteInternational Journal of Intelligence and Counter Intelligence Vol. 30, No.4; Winter 2017-18: p.785-809
Journal SourceInternational Journal of Intelligence and Counter Intelligence Vol: 30 No 4
Key WordsSocial Science ;  Strategic Intelligence Analysis


 
 
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