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ID160002
Title ProperReinvestigating the Oil Price–Stock Market Nexus
Other Title InformationEvidence from Chinese Industry Stock Returns
LanguageENG
AuthorFang, Sheng
Summary / Abstract (Note)The present study investigates the influence of international oil prices on China's stock market returns across 29 different industries. The paper attempts to account for any structural breaks and nonlinearity in this relationship. The results reveal that the effect of changes in the international price of oil on stock returns differs substantially across industries. The stock returns of the coal, chemical, mining and oil industries are found to be positively affected by crude oil price movements. Conversely, electronics, food manufacturing, general equipment, pharmaceuticals, retail, rubber and vehicle industries are found to be negatively affected by movements in the price of crude oil. The results of the estimations also suggest that the majority of Chinese industries have been significantly affected by oil prices since 2004. The influence of international oil prices on Chinese stocks also has a stronger effect in the presence of high volatility but the effect varies across industries.
`In' analytical NoteChina and World Economy Vol. 26, No.3; May-Jun 2018: p.43-62
Journal SourceChina and World Economy 2018-06 26, 3
Key WordsRegime Switching ;  International Oil Prices ;  China’s Stock Market