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ID167372
Title ProperWhy Do Autocrats Disclose? Economic Transparency and Inter-elite Politics in the Shadow of Mass Unrest
LanguageENG
AuthorHollyer, James R
Summary / Abstract (Note)Autocratic governments hold a preference for opacity. Autocracies are less transparent than democracies and a closed informational environment preserves autocratic regimes from mass unrest. Yet, autocracies vary widely in the extent to which they disclose economic information. In this article, we offer an explanation for why some autocrats choose to disclose. We contend that, paradoxically, some autocratic leaders may benefit from increasing the capacity of the populace to mobilize. In so doing, autocratic leaders threaten rival members of the elite, reducing the risk of elite challenges and increasing their freedom of maneuver. We contend that transparency acts as one mechanism toward these ends. We formalize these intuitions and demonstrate empirically that leaders in transparent autocracies enjoy a reduced hazard of removal via coup relative to their opaque counterparts. Personalistic dictators and entrenched autocrats—who suffer the smallest risk of sanctioning by their elites—are particularly unlikely to disclose information.
`In' analytical NoteJournal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 63, No.6; Jul 2019: p.1488-1516
Journal SourceJournal of Conflict Resolution Vol: 63 No 6
Key WordsPolitical Economy ;  Transparency ;  Autocracy ;  Coup ;  Protest ;  Political Survival


 
 
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