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ID172368
Title ProperIndonesian macro policy through two crises
LanguageENG
AuthorAzwar, Prayudhi ;  Tyers, Rod
Summary / Abstract (Note)Indonesia fielded shocks due to the Asian Financial Crisis (AFC) and the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) quite differently. Financial contagion, policy misdirection, panic and political upheaval saw the AFC bring economic collapse. The GFC, however, brought about real domestic growth of 6.1 per cent (2008) and 4.5 per cent (2009)—amongst the world’s best performances at the time. This paper reviews these events and employs numerical modelling of stylized AFC and GFC shocks to show that some of the contrast stems from differences in the shocks and intervening changes in Indonesia’s economic structure. Critically, IMF conditionality during the AFC required unsustainably contractionary reforms. Capital flight elements were present in both crises, however, and exchange rate depreciations and money-financed fiscal expansions are shown to have contributed significantly to resolution.
`In' analytical NoteJournal of Southeast Asian Economies (ASEAN Economic Bulletin Change the Name ) vol. 37, No.2; Aug 2020: p.101-134
Journal SourceJournal of Southeast Asian Economies (ASEAN Economic Bulletin Change the Name ) 2020-08 37, 2
Key WordsIndonesia ;  Macroeconomic Policy ;  Exchange Rates ;  Financial Crises ;  External Shocks