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ID177017
Title ProperConsequences of defeat
Other Title Informationthe quest for status and morale in the aftermath of war
LanguageENG
AuthorBarnhart, Joslyn
Summary / Abstract (Note)Studies of the effect of past actions have focused on yielding without a fight. What happens, however, when states fight and lose? This article assesses the effect of defeat on a state’s behavior and finds that recently defeated states are more likely to initiate disputes than are undefeated or victorious states or states that fight to a draw. This aggression comes at the expense of states responsible for defeat and third-party states uninvolved in the original defeat. The analysis below examines the validity of five potential explanations for postdefeat aggression, including models rooted in failed political objectives, an emotional desire for revenge and reputation-building and finds evidence in support for the latter two. These existing mechanisms fail, however, to explain a key finding—the systematic targeting of weaker, third-party states—which, I argue, is best explained by a desire to bolster the state’s status and confidence in the aftermath of defeat.
`In' analytical NoteJournal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 65, No.1; Jan 2021: p.195–222
Journal SourceJournal of Conflict Resolution Vol: 65 No 1
Key WordsWar ;  Conflict ;  Use of force ;  International Security ;  Militarized Disputes ;  Dyadic Conflict


 
 
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