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ID178908
Title ProperTerrorism and Bathtubs
Other Title InformationComparing and Assessing the Risks
LanguageENG
AuthorMueller, John ;  Stewart, Mark G
Summary / Abstract (Note)The likelihood that anyone outside a war zone will be killed by an Islamist extremist terrorist is extremely small. In the United States, for example, some six people have perished each year since 9/11 at the hands of such terrorists—vastly smaller than the number of people who die in bathtub drownings. Some argue, however, that the incidence of terrorist destruction is low because counterterrorism measures are so effective. They also contend that terrorism may well become more frequent and destructive in the future as terrorists plot and plan and learn from experience, and that terrorism, unlike bathtubs, provides no benefit and exacts costs far beyond those in the event itself by damagingly sowing fear and anxiety and by requiring policy makers to adopt countermeasures that are costly and excessive. This article finds these arguments to be wanting. In the process, it concludes that terrorism is rare outside war zones because, to a substantial degree, terrorists don’t exist there. In general, as with rare diseases that kill few, it makes more policy sense to expend limited funds on hazards that inflict far more damage. It also discusses the issue of risk communication for this hazard.
`In' analytical NoteTerrorism and Political Violence Vol. 33, No.1-4; Jan-Jun 2021: p.138-163
Journal SourceTerrorism and Political Violence Vol: 33 No 1-4
Key WordsTerrorism ;  Counter Terrorism ;  Risk ;  Cost-Benefit


 
 
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