| ID | 188894 |
| Title Proper | Naval Power, Merchant Fleets, and the Impact of Conflict on Trade |
| Language | ENG |
| Author | Feldman, Nizan |
| Summary / Abstract (Note) | Although commonly assumed to secure trade, the influence of both naval power and merchant fleets on combatants’ ability to secure trade has been rarely explored. Using the gravity model on a dataset spanning 1980–2011, this study shows that the damage conflict inflicts on states’ third-party trade declines as both their naval power and commercial fleet size increase. Beyond validating core assumptions of modern maritime strategy, our results make a valuable contribution to the extensive literature on trade and conflict. The notion that trade integration fosters peace rests on the assumption that conflict depresses third-party trade, thereby reducing trade-integrated states’ propensity to initiate conflict. As this study shows, however, naval power and merchant fleets mitigate these trade-related costs of conflict. Thus, the ability of trade to deter conflict declines when states possess substantial maritime capabilities. |
| `In' analytical Note | Security Studies Vol. 31, No.5; Oct-Dec 2022 : p.857-884 |
| Journal Source | Security Studies Vol: 31 No 5 |
| Key Words | Naval Power ; Merchant Fleets ; Conflict on Trade |