ID | 189016 |
Title Proper | Losing Hearts & Minds |
Other Title Information | Aid and Ideology |
Language | ENG |
Author | Child, Travers B |
Summary / Abstract (Note) | “Hearts and minds” theory contends development aid strengthens community support for counterinsurgents by providing jobs and public goods. Based on field interviews in Kabul, we develop an alternative theoretical framework emphasizing instead the ideological preferences of civilians. In our model, some aid projects are ideologically contentious while others are benign. Given a mix of foreign aid, each civilian supports either the counterinsurgents or rebels, depending on his/her idiosyncratic preferences. In this setting, greater provisions of aid can actually erode community support. Donors therefore calibrate the mix of foreign aid to appease population groups with relatively strong ideological sensibilities. Individual-level analysis based on unique Afghan data substantiates key features of our theory. Benign projects lead to favorable opinions of development, while contentious aid has the opposite effect. Moreover, favorable opinions of development are associated with stronger support for government and counterinsurgents, and weaker support for rebels. |
`In' analytical Note | Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 67, No.2-3; Feb-Mar 2023: p. 457-493 |
Journal Source | Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol: 67 No 2-3 |
Key Words | Conflict ; Public Opinion ; Ideology ; Foreign Aid ; Hearts and Minds |