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ID069871
Title ProperCoup risk, counterbalancing, and international conflict
LanguageENG
AuthorBelkin, Aaron ;  Schofer, Evan
Publication2005.
Summary / Abstract (Note)Contrary to the literature on rallies-around-the-flag, this article argues that, in some circumstances, leaders may use international conflict to promote domestic divisiveness. More specifically, the threat of a military coup generally prompts leaders to divide their militaries (a practice known as counterbalancing), and even to engage in international conflict to ensure that various branches of their own armed forces remain distrustful of one another. Two empirical tests of these claims are offered: a large-N statistical analysis that examines whether coup risk leads to counterbalancing, and whether counterbalanced nations engage in more low-level military conflict (controlling for other causes of conflict); and a case study of Georgia shortly after the dissolution of the Soviet Union. Both empirical studies support the arguments advanced by the authors.
`In' analytical NoteSecurity Studies Vol. 14, No. 1; Jan-Mar 2005: p131-166
Journal SourceSecurity Studies Vol: 14 No 1
Key WordsInternational Conflict ;  Military Coup ;  Military Conflict ;  Counterbalance