| ID | 077070 |
| Title Proper | Time Bombs |
| Other Title Information | estimating the duration of coercive bombing campaigns |
| Language | ENG |
| Author | Allen, Susan Hannah |
| Publication | 2007. |
| Summary / Abstract (Note) | Advancements in technology coupled with the perception of diminished public tolerance for casualties have increased the prominence and popularity of aerial bombing as a coercive tool, particularly for the United States. Despite interest from policy makers and support from the public, there has been little scholarly assessment of these coercive episodes. How successful are air campaigns, and what are the prospects for the future? In this article, I focus on the factors that cause bombing campaigns to end. To explore what leads to campaign termination, I highlight the theoretical significance of the political characteristics of both the attacker and the adversary. Using competing risks duration analysis to examine both failed and successful bombing campaigns from 1917 through 1999, I find that a democratic government on either side of the coercive equation increases the likelihood of campaigns ending |
| `In' analytical Note | Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 51, No.1; Feb 2007: p112-133 |
| Journal Source | Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 51, No.1; Feb 2007: p112-133 |
| Key Words | Air Power ; Coercion ; Informational Perspective ; Bombing ; Foreign Policy ; Decision Making |