| ID | 080319 |
| Title Proper | Iranian nuclear threat and the Israeli options |
| Language | ENG |
| Author | Pedatzur, Reuven |
| Publication | 2007. |
| Summary / Abstract (Note) | As a result of developments including the overthrow of Saddam Hussein, Muammar
Al-Qaddafi's decision to cease WMD programs, and the weakening of the Syrian
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military, only one potential strategic threat against Israel remains: the Iranian nuclear
program. Iran's acquisition of nuclear weapons is likely to transform the Middle
East's strategic balance, force changes in Israel's national security planning in
general and its nuclear policy in particular.
This article analyses the options open to Israel in response to a nuclear Iran, and
the advantages and disadvantages of each. Evaluation of the options available to
Israel reveals seven alternatives. In the near future, Israeli decision makers will
have to decide whether to adopt one or a mix of options ranging from preemptive
attack to unconcealed nuclear deterrence. After analysing each of these options, the
conclusion is that Israel probably will move to unconcealed nuclear deterrence in
the event of Iran completing the development and the acquisition of nuclear weapons. |
| `In' analytical Note | Contemporary Security Policy Vol. 28, No.3; Dec 2007: p513-541 |
| Journal Source | Contemporary Security Policy Vol. 28, No.3; Dec 2007: p513-541 |
| Key Words | WMD ; Iran ; Nuclear Threat ; Israel |