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ID087000
Title ProperEvaluationg Strategic arms limitation agreements, with application to the Israeli-Syrian and the North verus South Korean conflicts
LanguageENG
AuthorKagan, Kobi ;  Levkowitz, Alon ;  Tishler, Asher ;  Weiss, Avi
Publication2009.
Summary / Abstract (Note)This study evaluates the order of magnitude of the monetary cost of achieving an international strategic limitation agreement on weapons of mass destruction (WMD) in an asymmetric arms race, with applications to the Israeli-Syrian and the North versus South Korean conflicts. It extends the Kagan et al. (2005) framework and develops a model of resource allocation between expenditure on civilian government consumption and on security in a non-cooperative (Cournot) arms race between a developed country and a less-developed country. The model is used to predict the optimal mix of weapons of the two countries engaged in the arms race, and to evaluate the applicability of international strategic WMD limitation agreements. Applying the model to the arms race between Israel and Syria shows that if considered from a purely monetary perspective, such an agreement, in which the monetary transfer to Syria is made by either Israel or a third party, is within reach. A strategic agreement to limit North Korea's WMD is also economically feasible, but only when the monetary transfer to North Korea is shouldered by a third party such as the USA or a coalition of neighboring countries.
`In' analytical NoteDefence and Peace Economics Vol. 20, No. 2; Apr 2009: p.95 - 121
Journal SourceDefence and Peace Economics Vol. 20, No. 2; Apr 2009: p.95 - 121
Key WordsAsymmetric Arms Race ;  Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) ;  Arms Limitation Agreements ;  International Strategic Limitation ;  South Korean ;  North Korea


 
 
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