| ID | 091777 |
| Title Proper | Second nuclear revolution |
| Other Title Information | from nuclear primacy to post-existential deterrence |
| Language | ENG |
| Author | Sauer, Tom |
| Publication | 2009. |
| Summary / Abstract (Note) | This article predicts that the nuclear weapon states may opt sooner for nuclear elimination than generally expected. This delegitimation of nuclear weapons is due to five factors whose importance has grown since the mid-1990s: nuclear proliferation, the risk of nuclear terrorism, the nuclear taboo, missile defence, and the increased importance of international law. The article starts with categorizing nuclear weapons policies: nuclear primacy, maximum deterrence, minimum deterrence, existential deterrence, and post-existential deterrence. The nuclear weapon states will probably shift their policies from nuclear primacy (US), maximum deterrence (Russia), minimum or existential deterrence (UK, France, Israel, China, India, Pakistan, North Korea) to post-existential deterrence (or elimination), taking one step at a time. |
| `In' analytical Note | Journal of Strategic Studies Vol. 32, No. 5; Oct 2009: p745-767 |
| Journal Source | Journal of Strategic Studies Vol. 32, No. 5; Oct 2009: p745-767 |
| Key Words | Nuclear Weapons ; Nuclear Deterrence ; Nuclear Proliferation ; Nuclear Weapons Policy |