| ID | 092050 |
| Title Proper | Partisan divide on war and the economy |
| Other Title Information | presidential approval of G. W. Bush |
| Language | ENG |
| Author | Fox, Gerald T |
| Publication | 2009. |
| Summary / Abstract (Note) | This study examines the influence of 9/11, the Iraq War, the economy, and the coalition-of-minorities on presidential approval of G. W. Bush across partisan subgroups and aggregate popularity. The analysis considers the effect of underlying partisan preferences on overall approval. A partisan divide occurs for war and the economy on Bush popularity. The events of 9/11 and the Iraq War affect Democratic opinions of Bush more than Republican opinions, whereas the economy impacts Republicans more than Democrats. An in-party/out-party rally effect occurs. Democrats show stronger rallies than Republicans for 9/11 and the Iraq War, but also faster and deeper popularity decay of the rallies. All economic and war-related effects significantly influence Independents and aggregate Bush popularity. The coalition-of-minorities pattern of declining presidential approval is caused by the 9/11 rally decay effect, the war casualties effect, and the slowing economy during Bush's second term in office. |
| `In' analytical Note | Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 53, No. 6; Dec 2009: p.905-933 |
| Journal Source | Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 53, No. 6; Dec 2009: p.905-933 |
| Key Words | Partisan Presidential Popularity ; George W. Bush ; Iraq War ; 9/11 ; In - Party ; Out - Party Effect |