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ID093822
Title ProperHow opportunity costs decrease the probability of war in an incomplete information game
LanguageENG
AuthorPolachek, Solomon ;  Xiang, Jun
Publication2010.
Summary / Abstract (Note)This article shows that the opportunity costs resulting from economic interdependence decrease the probability of war in an incomplete information game. This result is strongly consistent with existing empirical analyses of the inverse trade-conflict relationship but is the opposite of the conclusion reached by Gartzke, Li, and Boehmer, who reject the opportunity cost argument in a game-theoretic framework. As a result of our findings, one cannot dismiss the opportunity cost argument as the explanation why trading nations fight less. Instead our study reaffirms the central position of opportunity costs as the basis for the inverse trade-conflict relationship, thus implying that one need not rely on signaling.
`In' analytical NoteInternational Organization Vol. 64, No. 1; Winter 2010: p.133-144
Journal SourceInternational Organization Vol. 64, No. 1; Winter 2010: p.133-144
Key WordsIncomplete Information Game ;  Economic Interdependence ;  Trade - Conflict Relationship


 
 
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