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ID109350
Title ProperIs there co-movement of agricultural commodities futures prices and crude oil?
LanguageENG
AuthorNatanelov, Valeri ;  Alam, Mohammad J ;  McKenzie, Andrew M ;  Huylenbroeck, Guido Van
Publication2011.
Summary / Abstract (Note)Even though significant attempts have appeared in literature, the current perception of co-movement of commodity prices appear inadequate and static. In particular we focus on price movements between crude oil futures and a series of agricultural commodities and gold futures. A comparative framework is applied to identify changes in relationships through time and various cointegration methodologies and causality tests are employed. Our results indicate that co-movement is a dynamic concept and that some economic and policy development may change the relationship between commodities. Furthermore we show that biofuel policy buffers the co-movement of crude oil and corn futures until the crude oil prices surpass a certain threshold.
`In' analytical NoteEnergy Policy Vol. 39, No. 9; Sep 2011: p.4971-4984
Journal SourceEnergy Policy Vol. 39, No. 9; Sep 2011: p.4971-4984
Key WordsCommodities Futures ;  Co - Movement ;  Threshold Cointegration