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ID110397
Title ProperEnergy efficiency and the cost of GHG abatement
Other Title Informationa comparison of bottom-up and hybrid models for the US
LanguageENG
AuthorMurphy, Rose ;  Jaccard, Mark
Publication2011.
Summary / Abstract (Note)A highly influential report by the McKinsey consulting firm suggests that a large potential for profitable energy efficiency exists in the US, and that substantial greenhouse gas emissions reductions can therefore be achieved at a low cost. This result is consistent with other studies conducted using a bottom-up methodology that dates back to the work of Lovins beginning in the 1970s. Research over the past two decades, however, has identified shortcomings with the conventional bottom-up approach, and this has led to the development of new analytical frameworks that are referred to as hybrid energy-economy models. Using the CIMS hybrid model, we conducted simulations for comparison with the McKinsey results. These exercises suggest a more modest potential to reduce greenhouse gas emissions at a given marginal cost, as well as a smaller contribution from energy efficiency relative to other abatement opportunities such as fuel switching and carbon capture and storage. Hybrid models incorporate parameters reflecting risk and quality into their estimates of technology costs, and our analysis suggests that these play a significant role in explaining differences in the results.
`In' analytical NoteEnergy Policy Vol. 39, No.11; Nov 2011: p.7146-7155
Journal SourceEnergy Policy Vol. 39, No.11; Nov 2011: p.7146-7155
Key WordsEnergy Efficiency ;  Greenhouse Gas ;  McKinsey