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ID112328
Title ProperClimate change mitigation and electrification
LanguageENG
AuthorSugiyama, Masahiro
Publication2012.
Summary / Abstract (Note)An increasing number of mitigation scenarios with deep cuts in greenhouse gas emissions have focused on expanded use of demand-side electric technologies, including battery electric vehicles, plug-in hybrid vehicles, and heat pumps. Here we review such "electricity scenarios" to explore commonalities and differences. Newer scenarios are produced by various interests, ranging from environmental organizations to industry to an international organization, and represent a variety of carbon-free power generation technologies on the supply side. The reviewed studies reveal that the electrification rate, defined here as the ratio of electricity to final energy demand, rises in baseline scenarios, and that its increase is accelerated under climate policy. The prospect of electrification differs from sector to sector, and is the most robust for the buildings sector. The degree of transport electrification differs among studies because of different treatment and assumptions about technology. Industry does not show an appreciable change in the electrification rate. Relative to a baseline scenario, an increase in the electrification rate often implies an increase in electricity demand but does not guarantee it.
`In' analytical NoteEnergy Policy Vol. 44; May 2012: p.464-468
Journal SourceEnergy Policy Vol. 44; May 2012: p.464-468
Key WordsGlobal Warming ;  Mitigation ;  Electrification