| ID | 113407 |
| Title Proper | Intelligence failures |
| Other Title Information | what are they really and what do we do about them? |
| Language | ENG |
| Author | Jensen, Mark A |
| Publication | 2012. |
| Summary / Abstract (Note) | Intelligence failures occur for more reasons than just sloppy tradecraft and are often attributable to decision-makers as well as to the intelligence community. Before exploring the subjective nature of intelligence failures, this article first discusses three foundational concepts underlying them: process vs. product, fact vs. judgment, and prediction. It then outlines major components of intelligence failures: accuracy, surprise, and the role of decision-makers, particularly unrealistic expectations and the use or non-use of intelligence. The article concludes with a discussion of what the intelligence community and decision-makers can do to deal with these three components. |
| `In' analytical Note | Intelligence and National Security Vol. 27, No.2; Apr 2012: p.261-282 |
| Journal Source | Intelligence and National Security Vol. 27, No.2; Apr 2012: p.261-282 |
| Key Words | Intelligence Failures ; Intelligence Community |