ID | 116070 |
Title Proper | Small world, big guns |
Other Title Information | globalization, interstate security networks and conventional weapons imports |
Language | ENG |
Author | Childs, Steven J |
Publication | 2012. |
Summary / Abstract (Note) | With the burgeoning influence of emerging markets in Asia, a tectonic shift is taking place in the global security landscape. Asian states are concomitantly arming as their economic clout grows. In light of these developments, security analysts would benefit from a formal means of placing these arms acquisitions in a structural context. Are arms acquisitions on par with the expectations of Asian states, given their structural dispositions, or are recent acquisitions beyond anticipated levels? By using a dynamic panel regression of 187 states from 1950 to 2011, this research predicts arms import volume using the degree of interstate arms linkages, the size of a state's military, and its level of economic development. The technique offers analysts a formal means of distinguishing orthodox behavior in importing conventional weapons from extraneous security motivations. The article concludes by generating near-term forecasts of Asian arms imports and discussing the implications of the technique. |
`In' analytical Note | Defense and Security Analysis Vol. 28, No.4; Dec 2012: p.343-359 |
Journal Source | Defense and Security Analysis Vol. 28, No.4; Dec 2012: p.343-359 |
Key Words | Arms Imports ; Dynamic Panel Regression ; Asian States ; Globalization ; Arms Market ; Third World ; Networks |