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ID116070
Title ProperSmall world, big guns
Other Title Informationglobalization, interstate security networks and conventional weapons imports
LanguageENG
AuthorChilds, Steven J
Publication2012.
Summary / Abstract (Note)With the burgeoning influence of emerging markets in Asia, a tectonic shift is taking place in the global security landscape. Asian states are concomitantly arming as their economic clout grows. In light of these developments, security analysts would benefit from a formal means of placing these arms acquisitions in a structural context. Are arms acquisitions on par with the expectations of Asian states, given their structural dispositions, or are recent acquisitions beyond anticipated levels? By using a dynamic panel regression of 187 states from 1950 to 2011, this research predicts arms import volume using the degree of interstate arms linkages, the size of a state's military, and its level of economic development. The technique offers analysts a formal means of distinguishing orthodox behavior in importing conventional weapons from extraneous security motivations. The article concludes by generating near-term forecasts of Asian arms imports and discussing the implications of the technique.
`In' analytical NoteDefense and Security Analysis Vol. 28, No.4; Dec 2012: p.343-359
Journal SourceDefense and Security Analysis Vol. 28, No.4; Dec 2012: p.343-359
Key WordsArms Imports ;  Dynamic Panel Regression ;  Asian States ;  Globalization ;  Arms Market ;  Third World ;  Networks


 
 
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