| ID | 116464 |
| Title Proper | State-level forecasts of the 2012 federal and gubernatorial elections |
| Language | ENG |
| Author | Klarner, Carl E |
| Publication | 2012. |
| Summary / Abstract (Note) | The election forecasts presented in this article indicate that control of the White House after the 2012 election is a tossup, that control of the US House will likely remain in Republican hands, and that although closely fought, the Republicans have the edge for control of the US Senate. These forecasts were made on July 15, 2012. Obama was predicted to receive 51.3% of the two-party popular vote, 301 electoral votes, and to have a 57.1% chance of winning the Electoral College. The year 2012 was forecast to be one of stasis for the US House, with almost no change in the number of seats controlled by the Republicans: they were forecast to pick up two seats, and to have a 75.6% chance of maintaining their majority. Lastly, the Republicans were predicted to pick up five seats in the US Senate and have about a 61.6% chance of attaining majority control. |
| `In' analytical Note | Political Science and Politics Vol. 45, No.4; Oct 2012: p.655-662 |
| Journal Source | Political Science and Politics Vol. 45, No.4; Oct 2012: p.655-662 |
| Key Words | US Senate ; White House ; United States ; Obama ; Electoral Votes |