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ID121850
Title ProperYou can't win if you don't fight
Other Title Informationthe role of regime type in counterinsurgency outbreaks and outcomes
LanguageENG
AuthorGetmansky, Anna
Publication2013.
Summary / Abstract (Note)What effect, if any, does democracy have on outcomes of counterinsurgency wars? Previous studies have provided inconclusive answers mainly because of the challenges involved in testing the question empirically: First, insurgencies are not accidental and the anticipated outcomes also affect whether they break out in the first place. Second, regimes are non-random and their determinants can also affect insurgency incidence and its outcomes. Moreover, different aspects of democracy can have opposite effects on the government's chances of winning. I address these challenges by conducting a critical test to distinguish between different causal mechanisms. I find that domestic institutions that are associated with public goods provision make insurgency onsets less likely. I also show that once we control for this selection effect, domestic political institutions do not influence insurgency outcomes.
`In' analytical NoteJournal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 57, No.4; Aug 2013: p.709-734
Journal SourceJournal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 57, No.4; Aug 2013: p.709-734
Key WordsCounterinsurgency ;  Democracy ;  Domestic Politics ;  Victory


 
 
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