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ID127283
Title ProperAsymmetric and nonlinear pass-through of crude oil prices to gasoline and natural gas prices
LanguageENG
AuthorAtil, Ahmed ;  Lahiani, Amine ;  Nguyen, Duc Khuong
Publication2014.
Summary / Abstract (Note)In this article, we use the recently developed nonlinear autoregressive distributed lags (NARDL) model to examine the pass-through of crude oil prices into gasoline and natural gas prices. Our approach allows us to simultaneously test the short- and long-run nonlinearities through positive and negative partial sum decompositions of the predetermined explanatory variables. It also offers the possibility to quantify the respective responses of gasoline and natural gas prices to positive and negative oil price shocks from the asymmetric dynamic multipliers. The obtained results indicate that oil prices affect gasoline prices and natural gas prices in an asymmetric and nonlinear manner, but the price transmission mechanism is not the same. Important policy implications can be learned from the empirical findings.
`In' analytical NoteEnergy Policy Vol.65, No. ; February 2014: p.567-573
Journal SourceEnergy Policy Vol.65, No. ; February 2014: p.567-573
Key WordsEnergy Policy ;  Petro Power ;  Energy Strategy ;  Energy Planning ;  Economic Interest ;  Energy Crisis ;  Petro Crisis ;  Petro Price ;  Crude Oil ;  Natural Gas ;  Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lags - NADL ;  Asymmetric Dynamic Multipliers ;  Transmission Mechanism ;  Nonlinear Manner