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ID129830
Title ProperOn the determinants of terrorism risk concern in Europe
LanguageENG
AuthorDrakos, Konstantinos ;  Mueller, Catherine
Publication2014.
Summary / Abstract (Note)We investigate whether differences in terrorism risk are mirrored on terrorism risk perception across European countries for the period 2003-2007. We find that the average propensity for terrorism risk concern is affected by actual risk levels. Country and individual heterogeneity contribute substantially to the variation of observed risk perception. Singles and individuals with white collar jobs are less likely to mention terrorism as one of the most pressing issues their country faces, while political positioning towards the right makes it more likely to be concerned about terrorism. As far as competing risks are concerned, we find that the likelihood terrorism is mentioned, decreases with spending on pensions as a percentage of GDP being higher. Finally, based on the Bayesian framework, we also examined the formation of terrorism risk perceptions, and decompose the observed country-level time series of terrorism activity into a long- and a short-run component. We concluded that the observed risk perception variation is only explained by the long-term trend of terrorism activity countries face.
`In' analytical NoteDefence and Peace Economics Vol. 25, No.3; Jun 2014: p.291-310
Journal SourceDefence and Peace Economics Vol. 25, No.3; Jun 2014: p.291-310
Key WordsProbit ;  Survey Data ;  Terrorism Risk Concern ;  Time Series Decomposition


 
 
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