ID | 130264 |
Title Proper | Nuclear dominoes |
Other Title Information | a self-defeating prophecy? |
Language | ENG |
Author | Miller, Nicholas L |
Publication | 2014. |
Summary / Abstract (Note) | Is the nuclear domino theory historically valid? Despite its longstanding centrality to thinking on nuclear proliferation amongst scholars and policymakers, in recent years a revisionist consensus has emerged in opposition to this traditional view. Based on an analysis of historical evidence from the aftermath of the 1964 Chinese nuclear test, this article argues that scholars have gone too far in rejecting the nuclear domino theory. Reactive proliferation has been more prevalent than commonly believed, and while it is true that only India acquired a nuclear arsenal in response to the Chinese test, to a significant extent this is precisely because the United States was aware of the danger of reactive proliferation and worked to stop it. Finally, the historical evidence suggests that the nuclear domino theory is compatible with both domestic and prestige motivations for proliferation in addition to the security motives normally associated with the theory. |
`In' analytical Note | Security Studies Vol.23, No.1; January-March 2014: p.33-73 |
Journal Source | Security Studies Vol.23, No.1; January-March 2014: p.33-73 |
Key Words | Nuclear Dominoes ; Nuclear Policy ; Nuclear Weapons ; Nuclear Arsenal ; Nuclear Proliferation ; Historical Evidence ; United States ; India ; China ; Security Motives ; Chinese Threat |