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ID134792
Title ProperSeats-in-trouble forecast of the 2014 midterm congressional elections
LanguageENG
AuthorCampbell, James E
Summary / Abstract (Note)One of the most commonly referenced generalizations about congressional elections is attributed to Speaker of the House Thomas P. “Tip” O’Neill. According to the venerable Speaker, “All politics is local.” Of course, in the broad sense, this is far from the case. A vast body of research and evidence indicates that national political conditions greatly shape congressional vote decisions and election outcomes. 1 But in a strict sense, it and its companion generalization— all politics is short-term— are difficult to argue with. At least formally, elections are decided by the actions of individual voters expressed at the ballot box on Election Day (or thereabouts). To be of consequence, national and long-term considerations must influence the political decisions made in the here and now—local and current.
`In' analytical NotePolitical Science and Politics Vol.47, No.4; Oct.2014: p.779-781
Journal SourcePolitical Science and Politics 2014-12 47, 4
Standard NumberUnited States – US