| ID | 137728 |
| Title Proper | Systemic risk; contagion; energy sector; OTC commodity derivatives; EMIR |
| Language | ENG |
| Author | Bagnai, Alberto ; Ospina, Christian Alexander Mongeau |
| Summary / Abstract (Note) | Using monthly data from 1994 to 2013 we study the long-run relation of the pre-tax retail prices of gasoline with crude price and the nominal exchange rate. We find a strongly significant long-run relation. We then use the nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model to assess the asymmetries on both the short- and long-run elasticities, as well as the presence of hysteresis in the pricing behaviour. The estimation results confirm the presence of asymmetry in the long-run elasticities, with significant differences between the crude price and the exchange rate, as well as the presence of hysteresis in the relation between the retail price of gasoline and crude oil price. |
| `In' analytical Note | Energy Policy Vol. 78, Mar 2015: p.41–50 |
| Journal Source | Energy Policy 2015-03 78 |
| Key Words | Exchange Rate ; Energy Prices ; Hysteresis ; Pass - Through ; Asymmetric Cointegration ; Asymmetric Price Adjustment |