| ID | 140828 |
| Title Proper | Why a small probability of terror generates a large macroeconomic impact |
| Language | ENG |
| Author | Naor, Ziv |
| Summary / Abstract (Note) | It has been shown that terror activities have had a substantial macroeconomic impact. This work presents a macroeconomic model showing quantitatively that an increase in the probability of terror-induced death such as that observed in Israel in 2001–2004 is consistent with the documented contraction of economic activity associated with the impact of terror. The model includes fear of terrorism, represented as a higher level of probability perception than the cumulative-prospect theory expects, and a local government that can supply the public with a security good. The effectiveness of the production of the security good plays an important role in determining the terror-induced loss of production to the economy. |
| `In' analytical Note | Defence and Peace Economics Vol. 26, No.6; Dec 2015: p.583-599 |
| Journal Source | Defence and Peace Economics Vol: 26 No 6 |
| Key Words | Terrorism ; H56 ; Macroeconomic Impact |