| ID | 144457 |
| Title Proper | Dangerous demographics? the effect of urbanisation and metropolisation on African civil wars, 1961–2010 |
| Language | ENG |
| Author | Schulz, Nicolai |
| Summary / Abstract (Note) | Whether urbanisation promotes or inhibits the risk of civil war is disputed: while case studies usually support the former, quantitative investigations have found either the latter or no significant correlation at all. I argue that this contradiction is due to a conceptual and operational over-aggregation of urbanisation, ignoring its intrastate variation. I claim that a high relative concentration of the urban population and political, economic and social institutions in the largest city – so-called metropolisation – can increase both the motivation for and the feasibility of rebellion in a country. Triangulating case study evidence with a quantitative cross-national time series design, I show that metropolisation significantly and robustly increases the risk of governmental conflict in particular and hence civil war in general. |
| `In' analytical Note | Civil Wars Vol. 17, No.3; Sep 2015: p.291-317 |
| Journal Source | Civil Wars Vol: 17 No 3 |
| Key Words | African Civil Wars ; Urbanisation ; Dangerous Demographics ; Metropolisation ; 1961–2010 |