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ID148661
Title ProperPrimary effect
Other Title Information preference votes and political promotions
LanguageENG
AuthorFolke, Olle ;  Rickne, Johanna ;  OLLE FOLKE (a1), TORSTEN PERSSON (a2) and JOHANNA RICKNE (a3) ;  Persson, Torsten
Summary / Abstract (Note)In this analysis of how electoral rules and outcomes shape the internal organization of political parties, we make an analogy to primary elections to argue that parties use preference-vote tallies to identify popular politicians and promote them to positions of power. We document this behavior among parties in Sweden's semi-open-list system and in Brazil's open-list system. To identify a causal impact of preference votes, we exploit a regression discontinuity design around the threshold of winning the most preference votes on a party list. In our main case, Sweden, these narrow “primary winners” are at least 50% more likely to become local party leaders than their runners-up. Across individual politicians, the primary effect is present only for politicians who hold the first few positions on the list and when the preference-vote winner and runner-up have similar competence levels. Across party groups, the primary effect is the strongest in unthreatened governing parties.
`In' analytical NoteAmerican Political Science Review Vol. 110, No.3; Aug 2016: p.559-578
Journal SourceAmerican Political Science Review 2016-09 110, 3
Key WordsPrimary Effect ;  Preference Votes ;  Political Promotions