| ID | 150989 |
| Title Proper | Sequencing the peace |
| Other Title Information | how the order of peace agreement implementation can reduce the destabilizing effects of post-accord elections |
| Language | ENG |
| Author | Melander, Erik ; Joshi, Madhav ; Quinn, Jason Michael ; Madhav Joshi, Erik Melander, Jason Michael Quinn |
| Summary / Abstract (Note) | Once a set of civil war actors reach a final peace agreement, a number of different implementation sequences are possible as the negotiated provisions are put into practice. We focus on a key but threatening stepping stone in the post-accord period—the holding of the first post-accord election—which has the capacity to be a stabilizing or destabilizing force. We identify effective accommodation provisions that civil war actors can negotiate and implement before the first post-accord election to reduce the chances of renewed violence. Utilizing new longitudinal data on the implementation of comprehensive peace agreements between 1989 and 2012 and a series of survival models, we find that if the first post-accord election is preceded by the implementation of accommodation measures, elections can have a peace-promoting effect. However, in the absence of preelection accommodation measures, elections are much more likely to be followed by peace failure |
| `In' analytical Note | Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 61, No.1; Jan 2017: p.4-28 |
| Journal Source | Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol: 61 No 1 |
| Key Words | Peace Agreement ; Bargaining ; Implementation ; Demobilization ; Accommodation ; Recurrence ; Civil War ; Sequencing |