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ID151707
Title ProperTerrorist choice
Other Title Informationa stochastic dominance and prospect theory analysis
LanguageENG
AuthorPhillips, Peter J ;  Pohl, Gabriela
Summary / Abstract (Note)The paper explores terrorist choice by applying two well-known theoretical frameworks: stochastic dominance and prospect theory (PT). We analyse each pair of attack methods that can be formed from the RAND-MIPT database and the Global Terrorism Database. Instances of stochastic dominance are identified. PT orderings are computed. Attention is accorded to the identification of ‘trigger points’ and the circumstances that may lead to an increased likelihood that a terrorist will select an attack method associated with a higher expected number of fatalities, i.e. a potentially more damaging attack method.
`In' analytical NoteDefence and Peace Economics Vol. 28, No.2; Apr 2017: p.150-164
Journal SourceDefence and Peace Economics Vol: 28 No 2
Key WordsProspect Theory ;  Fatalities ;  Terrorist Choice ;  Stochastic Dominance ;  Attack Methods ;  Trigger Points


 
 
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