ID | 154067 |
Title Proper | Geography and the outcomes of civil resistance and civil war |
Language | ENG |
Author | BUTCHER, CHARLES |
Summary / Abstract (Note) | This paper reports the results of the first cross-national examination of the impact of the geography of nonviolent contention on regime transitions. Nonviolent tactics ‘work’ in part by signalling the preferences of non-participants through the symbolism of participants, unlike violent tactics. This opens the way for nonviolent campaigns to exploit variations in social-spatial meaning to enhance the informativeness of dissent. Capital cities are one such symbolic place and the main prediction of this study is a positive relationship between large protests and regime transitions in the capital, but not elsewhere. I also predict a strong direct relationship between the proximity to the capital of fighting in civil wars, and regime transitions; no relationship to the proximity of nonviolent contention; and that the intensity of violent conflict impacts regime transitions in a way that is largely independent of location. Results from an analysis of episodes of violent and nonviolent conflict from 1990 to 2014 generally support these contentions. |
`In' analytical Note | Third World Quarterly Vol. 38, No.7; 2017: p.1454-1472 |
Journal Source | Third World Quarterly Vol: 38 No 7 |
Key Words | Geography ; Nonviolence ; Civil Resistance ; Civil War |