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ID154906
Title ProperEconomic development, mobility, and political discontent
Other Title Informationan experimental test of tocqueville’s thesis in Pakistan
LanguageENG
AuthorHealy, Andrew ;  ANDREW HEALY (a1), KATRINA KOSEC (a2) and CECILIA HYUNJUNG MO (a3) ;  Mo, Cecilia Hyunjung ;  Kosec, Katrina
Summary / Abstract (Note)We consider the thesis of Alexis de Tocqueville (1856) that economic development and increased mobility may generate political discontent not present in more stagnant economies. For many citizens, as they become aware of the potential for improved living standards, their aspirations may increase faster than actual living standards. Expanded opportunity may then paradoxically result in dissatisfaction with government rather than greater confidence. We develop a formal model to capture Tocqueville’s (1856) verbal theory and test its predictions using a 2012–2013 face-to-face survey experiment conducted in Pakistan. The experiment utilizes established treatments to subtly manipulate either a participant’s perceptions of her own economic well-being, her perceptions of society-wide mobility, or both. As predicted by the theory, political discontent rises when declining personal well-being coincides with high mobility to create unrealized aspirations. The results thus identify the conditions under which expanded economic opportunity can lead to political unrest.
`In' analytical NoteAmerican Political Science Review Vol. 111, No.3; Aug 2017: p. 605-621
Journal SourceAmerican Political Science Review 2017-09 111, 3
Key WordsEconomic Development ;  Mobility ;  Political Discontent ;  Tocqueville’s Thesis in Pakistan