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ID157828
Title ProperTiming of third-party intervention in social conflict
LanguageENG
AuthorChang, Yang-Ming ;  Zhang, Yongjing
Summary / Abstract (Note)This paper analyzes how the equilibrium outcome of social conflict between factions is strategically altered by third-party intervention. We consider an intervening third party that commits financial support to one of two contending factions for reducing its cost in conflict. Within the framework of three-player sequential-move games, we investigate the questions as follows. What is the optimal intervention intensity in terms of the third party’s financial support? Is there a first-mover advantage in conflict when there is third-party intervention? Fighting against all odds, will the unsupported faction have a chance to prevail when its opponent receives third-party support? What is the optimal timing of third-party intervention? The analysis in the paper has implications for the conditions under which the strategic intervention of a third party may or may not break a conflict between factions.
`In' analytical NoteDefence and Peace Economics Vol. 29, No.2; Mar 2018: p.91-110
Journal SourceDefence and Peace Economics Vol: 29 No 2
Key WordsConflict ;  Third-Party Intervention ;  Sequential Game ;  First-Mover Advantage


 
 
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