| ID | 158524 |
| Title Proper | Long war in the East |
| Other Title Information | doctrine, diplomacy, and the prospects for a protracted Sino-American conflict |
| Language | ENG |
| Author | Rovner, Joshua |
| Summary / Abstract (Note) | Increasing diplomatic tension between China and the United States has led to concerns about military conflict, possibly including rapid nuclear escalation. Scholars have spent less time considering the opposite scenario: protracted conventional war. This analysis explains why a combination of politics, geography, and technology may conspire to produce such a war, despite the fact that both sides are planning for a short, high-intensity fight. It shows how the Peloponnesian War, an ancient conflict fought with ancient weapons, nonetheless provides a warning of what might happen in the present. It also describes a grim trade off that American policy-makers will face in the event of war. Washington can take steps to reduce the chance of nuclear escalation, but in so doing will make a long war more likely. The conclusion describes the diplomatic challenge of war termination in a protracted conflict where neither side can compel the other to back down. |
| `In' analytical Note | Diplomacy and Statecraft Vol. 29, No.1; Mar 2018: p.129-142 |
| Journal Source | Diplomacy and Statecraft Vol: 29 No 1 |
| Key Words | Diplomacy ; Doctrine ; War in the East ; Prospects for a Protracted ; Sino-American Conflict |