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ID158994
Title ProperReexamining reputation for resolve
Other Title Informationleaders, states, and the onset of international crises
LanguageENG
AuthorLupton, Danielle L
Summary / Abstract (Note)Scholars remain conflicted over the effects of reputations for resolve on international conflict and which actors acquire these reputations. I address this debate by examining how our measures of resolve, as well as where we look for its effects, influence our conclusions about its impact on international conflict. Using data from the Archigos dataset and the International Crisis Behavior dataset, I perform a semi-parametric Cox survival analysis and directly compare the effects of resolute and irresolute behavior at two distinct levels of analysis: the leader level of analysis and the state level of analysis. My results show that target leaders who employ relatively more violent or more severe major responses to dispute triggers enjoy significantly longer periods of time before being the target of a future dispute initiated by the same challenger leader. While I also find a similar effect for target states that employ relatively more severe responses, the impact of resolute behavior at the state level of analysis does not appear to be as consistently widespread as that of resolute behavior at the leader level of analysis. My findings also show that how scholars choose to measure resolve as a concept can have important implications for their conclusions about its broader effects. Finally, my analyses present evidence that both leaders and states may be capable of acquiring reputations for resolve, opening up interesting avenues of future research.
`In' analytical NoteJournal of Global security Studies Vol. 3, No.2; Apr 2018: p.198–216
Journal SourceJournal of Global security Studies Vol: 3 No 2
Key WordsLeaders ;  Reputation ;  Resolve ;  Crisis Escalation ;  Conflict Initiation


 
 
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