| ID | 159937 |
| Title Proper | flawed promise of National Security Risk Assessment: nine lessons from the British approach |
| Language | ENG |
| Author | Blagden, David |
| Summary / Abstract (Note) | Since 2010, quinquennial UK National Security Strategies – and the Strategic Defence and Security Reviews that follow – have been based on a public National Security Risk Assessment (NSRA). The purpose of the NSRA is to identify and prioritize UK security risks for the coming five-yearly cycle based on their likelihood and impact. This article recognizes that trading off severity against likelihood is a valuable strategic heuristic. Yet it concludes that until the NSRA can address nine key limitations, it will remain a flawed exercise. Such findings carry implications for UK policy, and for other states operating NSRA-style risk matrices. |
| `In' analytical Note | Intelligence and National Security Vol. 33, No.5; Aug 2018: p.716-736 |
| Journal Source | Intelligence and National Security Vol: 33 No 5 |
| Key Words | National Security Risk Assessment ; British Approach |