ID | 165264 |
Title Proper | Focal Points, Dissident Calendars, and Preemptive Repression |
Language | ENG |
Author | Truex, Rory ; Rory Truex |
Summary / Abstract (Note) | This article explains temporal variation in repression as a function of the “dissident calendar,” the set of events that serve as natural focal points for coordination. The core argument is that regimes can anticipate the events that create these focal points and engage in preemptive repression to survive their passing. This dynamic produces predictable, often cyclical patterns in repression. An analysis of dissident detentions in China from 1998 to 2014 shows that “focal events” alone appear to be responsible for more than 20 percent of dissident detentions over the analysis period. Such detentions tend to be shorter and rely less on formal criminal procedures, suggesting a “catch-and-release” dynamic. Additional analysis of detentions in Tibet shows how the calendar may vary by issue or group. |
`In' analytical Note | Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 63, No.4; Apr 2019: p.1032-1052 |
Journal Source | Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol: 63 No 4 |
Key Words | Human Rights ; China ; Tibet ; Mobilization ; Repression ; Collective Action ; Authoritarian ; Detention ; Preemptive ; Dissidents ; Focal Point |