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ID176676
Title Properparticipatory stakeholder process for evaluating sustainable energy transition scenarios
LanguageENG
AuthorMadlener, Reinhard ;  TimHöferReinhardMadlener ;  Höfer, Tim
Summary / Abstract (Note)This paper presents an evaluation of four energy transition scenarios under consideration of multiple stakeholder opinions. We construct a multi-criteria group decision model that applies Value-Focused Thinking to construct a holistic objective system and uses Multi-Attribute Utility Theory to evaluate the energy transition scenarios. Although the individual scenario evaluations show that the opinions of the stakeholders towards a sustainable energy transition differ largely, we are able to identify three main strands of opinions among the considered stakeholders. By bundling the stakeholder interests by employing a k-means clustering technique, we derive detailed policy recommendations for a sustainable energy transition. For the case of Germany, these are to reduce GHG and pollutant emissions and at the same time enable citizens’ participation, limit the visual impact on landscapes, and ensuring internationally comparable energy-related political frameworks for the economy. For the case of a sustainable energy transition in Germany, we find that the stakeholders considered prefer either the highly ambitious Climate Protection scenario (Scenario B) or the Pan-European scenario (Scenario C). The main novelties of the study are that stakeholders are included in every step of the decision-making process and that very comprehensive energy transition scenarios, comprising the electricity, transport, heat, and industry sectors, are considered.
`In' analytical NoteEnergy Policy Vol.139; Apr 2020: p.111277
Journal SourceEnergy Policy 2020-04 139
Key WordsGroup Decision Making ;  Energy Scenarios ;  Value-Focused Thinking ;  MAUT