| ID | 181692 |
| Title Proper | China Looks at the Korean Peninsula: The ‘Two Transitions |
| Language | ENG |
| Author | Ross, Robert S |
| Summary / Abstract (Note) | There are two power transitions under way on the Korean Peninsula. Firstly, there is a US–China power transition, reflecting China’s emergence as an economic and military power in Northeast Asia. This is challenging US regional dominance. The second transition reflects South Korea’s development of an independent defence capability against North Korea. A consensus has emerged among Chinese scholars and analysts in government think tanks that these two trends have encouraged South Korea to place itself at greater distance from the United States and China, and to pursue an independent policy toward North Korea that supports Chinese policy preferences. Chinese understanding of the dual power transition is reflected in Beijing’s policies toward South Korea, North Korea and denuclearisation. China no longer contributes to North Korea’s diplomatic isolation or to sanctions regimes against it, with implications for US policy. |
| `In' analytical Note | Survival : the IISS Quarterly Vol. 63, No.6; Dec-Jan 2021-22 : p.129-158 |
| Journal Source | Survival : the IISS Quarterly Vol: 63 No 6 |
| Key Words | United States ; China ; North Korea ; South Korea ; Korean Peninsula ; Xi Jinping ; Moon Jae-In |