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ID: 054393

African conflicts, colonialism and contemporary intervention / Reno, Willam

4; 2003

Reno, Willam	Journal Article
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Publication

2003.

Key Words

Intervention ; Conflict-Africa ; Africa ; United Nationa

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ID: 054392

Refugee problem in francophone Africa: an overview / Moosa, Jamal M

4; 2003

Moosa, Jamal M	Journal Article
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Publication

2003.

Key Words

Refugees ; Africa ; United Nationa ; Refugees - Africa

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ID: 076735

What's in a figure? estimating recurrence of civil war / Suhrke, Astri; Samset, Ingrid

Suhrke, Astri	Journal Article
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Publication

2007.

Summary/Abstract

It is often said that a country that has experienced civil war has nearly a 50 per cent risk of sliding back into war within five years. This has been widely cited in the academic literature and in policy debates, including in UN documents and preparatory work for the establishment of the UN Peacebuilding Commission. A closer examination of the origins, circulation and establishment of this figure gives a glimpse into the process whereby academic findings are converted into conventional wisdom and effectively inserted into the policy debate, even though the findings themselves are unstable. In this case, the authors of the original figure revised their initial 50 per cent estimate down to around 20 per cent only four years after their first study, but the change was barely noted. This article examines the process whereby the findings were made, and offers a note of caution about the wholesale adoption of such figures by policymakers and academics.

Key Words

Peacekeeping ; Peace Building ; United Nationa ; Civil War

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