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ID: 176785

Convergence and distribution dynamics of energy consumption among China's households / Shi, Xunpeng

Shi, Xunpeng	Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract

Whether there will be a long-run equilibrium (steady state) in energy demand per capita is a critical question for energy and environmental policy makers. While many studies have been done on energy production and energy consumption, little attention has been paid to whether disparities in relative household energy consumption (RHEC) converge, and how the use of aggregated data has serious limitations. This paper is the first study to investigate the convergence and dynamics of household energy consumption in China. The results are helpful to Chinese policy makers when trying to identify the key groups for priority interventions. The study finds that variability in the RHEC is very high and that many households will likely change their energy consumption patterns in the coming years. Overall, Chinese households have two convergence clubs. The current dynamics will probably lead to lower energy consumption for most households. The study suggests that policy makers should pay particular attention to households that have too low or too high RHEC level, mainly in rural areas and in the western region.

Key Words

China ; Transitional Dynamics ; Regional Disparity ; Household Energy Consumption ; Convergence Clubs

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ID: 170342

Regional disparity and convergence of electricity consumption in China: a distribution dynamics approach / Cheonga, Tsun Se

Cheonga, Tsun Se	Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract

One critical factor that affects China's achievement of its peak emission by 2030 is total electricity demand. The aim of this study is to examine regional disparity in electricity consumption in China. The analysis is based on a panel database which is compiled at the provincial level. A distributional dynamics approach is then employed to reveal the trend and movement of each province within the distributions in different regional groupings. The mobility probability plot (MPP) is also employed to provide detailed information on the probability of change in electricity consumption. The results demonstrate significant divergence presents across provinces, over time and within different regional groups. The results can pinpoint the transition mechanism within each region so that appropriate energy policy can be formulated to accommodate future demand in electricity for different regions in China. The results suggest that regional specific energy efficiency policy is needed.

Key Words

China ; Convergence ; Transitional Dynamics ; Electricity Consumption ; Distributional Dynamics ; Mobility Probability Plot

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ID: 069853

Terrorist threats and transitional dynamics in an overlapping geerations model / Shieh, Jhy-Yuan; Chen, Jhy-Hwa; Chang, Jun-Jen; Lai, Ching-Chong

Shieh, Jhy-Yuan	Journal Article
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Publication

2005.

Key Words

Terrorist Threats ; Security Spending ; Overlapping Gerenations Model ; Transitional Dynamics

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