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ID: 074035

GUAM and the smaller game in the post-Soviet expanse / Silaev, Nikolai

Silaev, Nikolai	Journal Article
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Publication

2006.

Key Words

World Politics ; Moldova ; Ukraine ; Azerbaijan ; Georgia ; International Relations - Case Studies

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ID: 091070

How the August war affected the Caucasus / Silaev, Nikolai

Silaev, Nikolai	Journal Article
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Publication

2009.

Summary/Abstract

The August war had a paradoxical effect on the Caucasus. It turned the region into the main arena of the biggest international crisis in recent history. Russian-American relations had not reached such a critical point since the collapse of the Soviet Union. Some observers harked back to the Caribbean crisis of 1962. The test launching of Russia's Topol-M ballistic missile in response to the appearance of American war ships in the Black Sea; the turning point in the seemingly irreversible process of NATO's enlargement that became evident after Georgia and Ukraine were refused Membership Action Plans in December 2008; and the new tone of the latest American administration in its dealings with Moscow all indicate that global security issues were placed on the map in August and that we should appreciate the fact that this local and short-lived armed conflict helped to resolve (although not entirely) such acute and far-reaching contradictions.

Key Words

Regional Security ; Caucasus ; August War

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ID: 185337

Russia and its Allies in Three Strategic Environments / Silaev, Nikolai

Silaev, Nikolai	Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract

Why does Russia seem simultaneously powerful and weak? This article finds the answer in a geopolitical analysis of the structural incentives for and impediments to Russian alliance policy that vary across regions in ways that elude realist, liberal and constructivist explanations of Russia’s conduct. We demonstrate that those explanations miss fundamental changes in Russia’s geographical position after the collapse of the USSR and the emergence of new threats and opportunities. We model the three strategic environments in which Russia acts: its immediate post-Soviet neighbourhood; more distant regions of the Eurasian continent, such as the Middle East and East Asia; and the sphere of global security issues. Building on theories of alliance behaviour, we show how the balance of threats in those strategic environments influences Russia’s political and military policies in different regions in ways not captured by dominant theories or the narratives that inform policy debates.

Key Words

Russia ; Strategic Environments

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