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ID: 084249

BQ in the House: the Nature of Sovereigntist Representation in the Canadian Parliament / Young, Lori; Belanger, Eric

Young, Lori	Journal Article
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Publication

2008.

Summary/Abstract

We address the behavior of separatist parties participating in state legislatures in well-established democracies, taking the Bloc Qu b cois (BQ) as a case. Analysis of oral questions asked in the Canadian House of Commons reveals a broad set of issues addressed by the BQ; its aggregate priorities comprising many issues of federal concern. It is shown that the BQ's attention to issues of separation in Question Period mainly follows, rather than leads, public support in Quebec for sovereignty. The party appears on the whole limited in its ability to mobilize public support for sovereignty and to pursue its separatist agenda more rigorously.

Key Words

Canada ; BQ ; Parliyament ; Sovereigntist

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ID: 100787

Forecasting Canadian federal elections / Belanger, Eric; Godbout, Jean-François

Belanger, Eric	Journal Article
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Publication

2010.

Summary/Abstract

In recent decades, the scientific forecasting of election outcomes has made great strides in a number of advanced industrial democracies. One country that has not received much attention to date is Canada. In this article, we present a vote function model to forecast Canadian federal elections. We explain our model's theoretical underpinnings and assess its statistical properties and forecasting capabilities against all federal elections held between 1953 and 2008. We then explore potential ways for improving the model's accuracy. We conclude by discussing the forecast of different hypothetical scenarios for an upcoming federal election.

Key Words

Canada ; Canadian Federal Elections ; Scientific Forecasting of Election

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